What the Latest Nobel Winners Taught Us
Their insights changed the modern understanding of banks.
What the Latest Nobel Winners Taught Us
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Their insights changed the modern understanding of banks.
What the Latest Nobel Winners Taught Us
Data are indispensable to understanding economic outcomes—but they need theory to be made useful.
Purely Evidence-Based Policy Doesn’t Exist
Eugene F. Fama and Richard H. Thaler discuss whether markets are prone to bubbles.
Are Markets Efficient?
I love my work. I have no intention of stopping as long as I'm breathing—and I may even do it after that.
A Brief History of Finance and My Life at Chicago
Many investors hold naive notions about diversification and a pronounced lack of sophistication about portfolio asset selection.
From 2001: Getting the Right Asset Allocation Mix
“Behavioral economics" is still economics, but it is economics done with strong injections of good psychology and other social sciences.
The Evolution of Economics and Homo Economicus
Merton H. Miller liked to tell a joke about Yogi Berra, the famous baseball catcher. Berra once told his trainer that he was particularly hungry, and he instructed him to cut his pizza into 12 pieces instead of six.
Why Merton Miller Remains Misunderstood
Chicago Booth and the University of Chicagos Lars Peter Hansen and Kevin M. Murphy discuss the challenges of translating academic research into policy advice.
How Should Economics Shape Policy?
When facing a risk of immediate failure, people often avoid it, even if it improves the odds of success.
Why We Avoid ‘Sudden Death’ Situations
We can’t eliminate crises, but we can limit their severity.
Douglas W. Diamond Says the Next Crisis Will Be Different
Some advice from the father of efficient markets.
Embrace Passive Management Already
Does personal freedom beget market freedom, or vice versa?
From 1974: Free Markets for Free Men
What banks demand from corporate borrowers may help explain the length and severity of economic busts.
What Makes Economic Downturns So Long and Painful?
The Nobel laureate is best known for work on efficient markets. But he also helped develop event studies, which have been used extensively in the field.
How Eugene F. Fama Has Left His Mark on Industrial Organization
Once people are participating in a default option, they can stick with it for years.
When ‘Nudging’ Is Forever—the Case of Sweden
In the model, the mismatch between assets (loans) and liabilities (deposits) is simply a liquidity issue, which deposit insurance can help address.
Bank Runs Aren’t Madness: This Model Explained Why
Fundamental economic variables regain importance in explaining risk premiums in stock markets.
A Nobel laureate offers advice on trying new things and creating long-term value.
Words to Live By: Flops, Nudges, and Sludge
The nation’s absorption with what the Fed will and will not do has left institutions guessing about what the future holds, which has caused inaction among investors.
Nobelist Hansen: Overreliance on Fed Leading to Sluggishness
Economic reform tends to be undertaken with no economic knowledge.
From 1964: The Danger of Making Policy Based on Assumption
An abundance of loans can create a debt overhang that causes lenders to pull back—and the ensuing credit crunch can make it harder for businesses to grow, or even to repay their debts.
How Managers Can Dam up Credit Flow
Chicago Booth’s Eugene F. Fama says that the government played a significant role in creating the crisis by insuring risky loans in the hopes of boosting home ownership.
Eugene F. Fama on the Government’s Role in the Subprime Mortgage Meltdown
A look at the ideas that did and did not influence his peers—and posterity.
From 1976: What Were Adam Smith’s Biggest Failures?
There are four essential ingredients to any comprehensive plan to facilitate adequate saving for retirement: availability, automatic enrollment, automatic investment, and automatic escalation.
Behavioral Economics and the Retirement Savings Crisis
When individual banks engage in risky behavior—such as extending credit too readily or taking on too much collateral that cannot be easily liquidated—they can quickly get into trouble.
Why the New Rules on Banks’ Financial Disclosures Aren’t Strict Enough
Mispriced stocks break the rules of efficient markets.
From 2002: Can the Market Add and Subtract?
New evidence on value versus growth.
From 1997: Rethinking Stock Returns
Nudging is often a cost-effective approach to public policy.
Why Policy Makers Should Nudge More
About half the time, a bank monitors a small private company by requesting financial statements, and in other cases it asks for tax returns or proof of creditworthiness.
How Can You Monitor a Borrower without Financial Statements?
An argument for reducing government control.
From 1963: The Limits of What the State Can—and Should—Do for the Economy
Becker’s analysis would extend the reach of economics, and completely reshape the field—and social-science research in general, but it took decades to do so.
How Gary Becker Saw the Scourge of Discrimination
The economics of the war on drugs.
From 2005: Battle Tactics
Gene's bottom line is always: Look at the facts. Collect the data. Test the theory.
Eugene F. Fama, Efficient Markets, and the Nobel Prize
The protests may have failed to overhaul the financial system, but that does not mean that nothing has changed.
What Occupy Wall Street Should Have Said
Americans have been taught by persistent experience to expect great and growing wealth from their economic system—even our paupers are richer in goods than most of the elites of history.
From 1970: Modern Man and His Corporations
Adam Smith was a radical and revolutionary in his time—just as those of us who today preach laissez faire are in our time.
From 1976: Adam Smith’s Relevance for 1976
Longevity gains in developing countries.
From 2006: The Upside of Globalization
Gary S. Becker and Richard Posner call for an end to the policy that dates to 1960.
Is It Time to End the Cuban Embargo?
By carefully studying investor behavior, active money managers can identify profitable clues about what stocks to buy and when.
From 1999: Fair GameYour Privacy
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