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Pregnant Women May Not Be Getting the Depression Care They NeedNearly 800 women across the world die every day of pregnancy-related complications, according to a 2023 report from the World Health Organization, the World Bank Group, and agencies of the United Nations. While global maternal mortality rates dropped 40 percent from 2000 to 2023, progress has stagnated.
More than half of the world’s maternal deaths, 37 percent of newborn deaths, and 36 percent of stillbirths occur in countries that appealed to the United Nations for aid in 2024.
Optimizing the type of care provided in these areas could save lives. A team of researchers including University of California at San Diego’s Robert J. Montgomery (a graduate of Chicago Booth’s PhD program) and Booth’s Barış Ata evaluated WHO-recommended health interventions at a community health program in rural Somalia and identified eight in particular for workers there to focus on. The theoretical takeaways could be relevant for maternal and newborn health throughout the world, including in advanced economies.
Somalia has one of the world’s highest rates of maternal mortality, with 692 deaths per 100,000 live births. UNICEF reports that the infant mortality rate is more than five times as high—36.8 deaths per 1,000 live births—mostly due to preterm deliveries, infections, or other complications during childbirth.
Because the country doesn’t have enough doctors, nurses, and midwives, international organizations such as the World Bank have helped fund community-health-worker programs in rural areas. These often rely on trained volunteers to provide preventative care, and to diagnose and treat patients for certain conditions.
Montgomery and Ata’s team built a model to evaluate one such program, using WHO data from 2000 to 2017 to analyze which types of health interventions would have saved the most lives. They also relied on the Lives Saved Tool, a database for researchers and government partners interested in country-level demographic information and the efficacy of health interventions in low- and middle-income countries.
They considered factors including the amount of time the workers could see patients and the number of eligible patients in the region, the number of hours available to train new and existing volunteers, the time it took to train them, and limited budgets.
The model also incorporated country-level mortality data, local feedback, and information about the medical supplies and equipment needed to follow the 25 medical guidelines that the WHO recommends for prenatal and postnatal care and that it considers feasible for community health workers to implement.
The researchers evaluated this initial set of 25 interventions and then worked with a reduced set of 22 that they determined were feasible for the Somali program.
The model’s prediction for the optimal interventions strikes a balance between the cost of providing care and the cost of training workers. And it suggests that of the WHO-recommended treatments, eight could be prioritized at the Somali program to maximize the number of lives saved. The treatments include malaria prevention and iron supplementation in pregnancy, as well as basic sanitation, hand washing with soap, skin-to-skin contact between baby and mother, umbilical cord care, thermal regulation, and breastfeeding promotion.
These recommended guidelines were not necessarily the most cost-effective. In fact, that invervention—neonatal resuscitation—was left out because it requires volunteers to undergo a significant amount of classroom training, explain the researchers.
The clinic in Somalia primarily used nine of the WHO’s 25 methods because of cost, accessibility, and other limiting factors. Its selected nine included some but not all of the eight that the researchers recommend. The model predicted that changing and narrowing the type of care the program offered would have prevented 15 percent of the 4,132 maternal and neonatal deaths that were expected in 2023 in the Galmudug state of Somalia, where the program was located. Offering these eight care options would have allowed supervisors to spend less time training volunteers, which would have freed up both the supervisors and volunteers to treat more patients.
The researchers then calibrated the model to see whether findings might translate to other settings in the country outside a community-health-worker program, such as in urban health clinics that had slightly more resources than the one in Galmudug and might have been using more of the WHO-recommended guidelines. The recalibrated model predicted that the number of lives saved would increase to nearly 2,000—almost half the region’s maternal and neonatal deaths in 2023.
The team concludes that allocating more funds toward medicine, vaccines, and medical equipment wouldn’t help as much as retaining and recruiting more health workers, be they volunteers or professionals.
Globally, maternal mortality is most concentrated in areas with poverty and violence. In 2020, 70 percent of global maternal deaths occurred in sub-Saharan Africa alone, according to the 2023 report from the WHO and its research partners. But Montgomery, Ata, and their coauthors suggest their model could be helpful in regions with similar, specific contraints—such as those losing doctors who serve pregnant women or rely on community-level health programs, which tend to face high worker turnover and burnout, limited infrastructure, supply-chain disruptions, and funding cuts due to public health emergencies or disease outbreaks. These regions include some areas of the United States, where hospitals are providing fewer services or closing altogether.
“The model provides a framework into which local expertise and perspectives can be readily incorporated,” the researchers write.
Robert J. Montgomery, Elaine Scudder, Caitlin Tulloch, Muna Jama, Naoko Kozuki, and Barış Ata, “Constrained Optimization: Evaluating Possible Packages of Community Health Interventions with Competing Resource Requirements in Galmudug, Somalia,” Health Policy and Planning, May 2025.
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