Growth Prospects for the US Economy

February 18, 2016, 4:30 p.m. - 6:30 p.m., Gleacher Center

Lawrence H. Summers, Charles W. Eliot University Professor at Harvard University and former US Treasury Secretary and Kevin M. Murphy, George J. Stigler Distinguished Service Professor in Economics at the University of Chicago will offer contrasting outlooks for the direction of the US economy. Their discussion will be moderated by Professor Anil Kashyap, Edward Eagle Brown Professor of Economics and Finance at Chicago Booth.

The Myron Scholes Global Markets Forum is part of the Initiative on Global Markets (IGM) and is generously sponsored by Myron Scholes.


Speaker Profiles

Kevin M. Murphy focuses his research on the empirical analysis of inequality, unemployment, and relative wages; the economics of growth and development; and the economic value of improvements in health and longevity. More than 60 of Murphy's research papers have been published in academic journals, including the Journal of Law and Economics, the Journal of Political Economy, and American Economic Review.

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Lawrence Summers is one of America’s leading economists and a former Treasury secretary. In addition to serving as 71st secretary of the Treasury in the Clinton Administration, Summers served as director of the White House National Economic Council in the Obama Administration, as president of Harvard University, and as the chief economist of the World Bank.

Summers’s tenure at the US Treasury coincided with the longest period of sustained economic growth in US history. He is the only Treasury secretary in the past half-century to have left office with the national budget in surplus. Summers has played a key role in addressing every major financial crisis for the past two decades.

During the 1990s, he was a leader in crafting the US response to international financial crises arising in Mexico, Brazil, Russia, Japan, and Asian emerging markets. As one of President Obama’s chief economic advisors, Summers helped shape the US response to the 2008 financial crisis, to the failure of the automobile industry, and to the pressures on the European monetary system. Upon Summers’s departure from the White House, President Obama said, “I will always be grateful that at a time of great peril for our country, a man of Larry’s brilliance, experience, and judgment was willing to answer the call and lead our economic team.” The Economist recognized his influence when it defined the “Summers Doctrine,” an approach to economic policy during financial crises that fuses a microeconomic “laissez faire” mentality with macroeconomic activism. “Markets should allocate capital, labour and ideas without interference, but sometimes markets go haywire, and must be counteracted forcefully by government.”

Summers’s five years as president of Harvard represented a time of major innovation for the university. He focused on equality of opportunity and removing all financial obligation from students with family incomes below $60,000 a year. He launched a major effort to make Boston, and Cambridge in particular, the global leader in life sciences research, with the formation of major programs for stem-cell research and genomics. Perhaps most importantly, he led efforts to renew Harvard College with dramatic increases in study abroad programs, faculty-student contact, and collaboration across the university during his tenure.

Currently, Summers is the president emeritus and the Charles W. Eliot University Professor at Harvard University, where he became a full professor at age 28, one of the youngest in Harvard’s recent history. He directs the university’s Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government. Summers was the first social scientist to receive the National Science Foundation’s Alan Waterman Award for scientific achievement, and in 1993, he was awarded the John Bates Clark Medal, given to the most outstanding economist under 40 in the United States. He was elected to the National Academy of Sciences in 2002. He has published more than 150 papers in scholarly journals.

Summers is an advisor to businesses and investors. He serves on the board of two cutting-edge financial services startups—Square and Lending Club. He also chairs the boards of Citizen Schools and the Center for Global Development. He serves on the board of Teach for America, ONE, and Broad Foundation. He is an advisor to the Hamilton Project, the Hutchins Center on Fiscal & Monetary Policy, and the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He is a distinguished senior fellow at the Center for American Progress and recently co-chaired the Commission on Inclusive Prosperity. He also recently chaired the Commission on Global Health, lauded by the UN secretary general, who noted that it “will bring more than health—it will bring equity, and contribute to a life of dignity for all.”

President Bill Clinton said that Larry Summers “has the rare ability to see the world that is taking shape and the skill to help to bring it into being.” He has been recognized as one of the world’s most influential thinkers by Time, Foreign Policy, Prospect, and the Economist magazines, among many others. In his speeches, regular newspaper columns in the Financial Times, and public commentary, he continues to move forward the debate on national and global economic policy.