NEWS
Clips
Effects of Unemployment
Why does the rise in unemployment
affect various sectors of the population differently? In the April
10 Chicago Tribune, Robert Topel, Isidore Brown and Gladys
J. Brown Professor in Urban and Labor Economics, said black workers
experienced a rise in unemployment during March while white workers
remained unaffected because more African Americans are represented
in manufacturing and other hard-hit sectors.
Investors and "Myopic Risk Aversion"
In the April 8 New York Times,
Richard Thaler, Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Behavioral Science
and Economics, explained that investors sometimes suffer from
"myopic risk aversion." According to Thaler, this aversion
is characterized by a tendency to continually reevaluate performances
and by greater sensitivity to losses than to gains. Research by
Thaler and three psychologists - Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman,
and Alan Schwartz - found that investors who looked at their performance
most often had the lowest average equity exposure. Frequent checkers
not only reduced their stock exposure immediately after a loss,
but also had lower average equity exposures during all subsequent
months, the research found. The article was titled "Strategies:
The Blinding Power of Data." In another discussion on behavioral
economics, Thaler told National Public Radio's Morning Edition
that personal savings rates may be dramatically improved with
the help of company programs. The report aired nationally on April
5.
Life Insurance Premiums Plunge
According to a study by Austan
Goolsbee, associate professor of economics, and Jeffrey Brown
of Harvard University, the recent price plunge in life insurance
premiums is directly related to the popularity of online insurance
sites. In an article titled łThe E-surance Trap,˛ the April 10
issue of Time quoted findings from the study, which found
that insurance Web sites account for as much as half of the decline
in term-life prices from 1995 to 1997. Such sites as InsWeb.com
and Quotesmith.com, which allow consumers to pinpoint the best
rate without having to contact an agent, are suffering profit
woes because they have not found a way to ease the application
and purchasing process.
Growth Stocks Provide Limited Gains
Growth stocks may not necessarily
be the best investments, according to Eugene Fama. The February
issue of Money magazine cited Fama's 1992 work "The Cross-Section
of Expected Stock Returns" as the touchstone study that found
growth stocks generally have made less money for investors than
have other types of stocks. Fama is Robert R. McCormick Distinguished
Service Professor of Finance.
The Death of Beta-Stocks?
The theory that high-beta stocks
are riskier than low-beta ones but offer better returns over the
long run is incorrect, according to research by Eugene Fama that
was cited in the April 18 Forbes. In a paper cowritten
in 1992 with Kenneth French, Fama found that no correlation exists
between risk and return. The magazine quoted Fama as saying, "Beta
is dead."
Back to School for Dot-Com Dropouts
According to the March issue of
CFO Magazine, dot-com dropouts are increasingly returning
to business schools to complete their M.B.A. degrees. "It's a
testament to the idea that they still think there are things left
to learn, that maybe they don't know as much as they thought they
did," Ellen Rudnick, clinical associate professor of entrepreneurship,
told the magazine. Rudnick said that students who come back are
often seen as a rich resource for classmates because they "bring
home the real-world situation of how difficult, or easy, it is
to raise money."
Recognizing Restructuring Charges
The April 4 Wall Street Journal quoted J. Douglas Hanna
in a story about Procter & Gamble's frequent use of restructuring
charges. According to research by Hanna, associate professor of
accounting, more than a quarter of all companies filing with the
SEC take a charge each year, up from 1 percent in 1970. With the
rise in companies booking such charges, Hanna told the paper,
"it's just not safe to ignore."
Boeing's Chicago Strategy
Boeing's decision to move its
headquarters from Seattle to Chicago is a strategic move that
reflects the growing number of mergers in the airline industry,
Thomas Hubbard, assistant professor of economics and strategy,
told the March 22 Seattle Times. "They want to stay competitive
with [archrival] Airbus," Hubbard said. "Being in Chicago would
probably mean they'll be able to talk to those [United] executives
a lot more often." While Boeing officials have suggested for the
past decade that they would move parts of their local operations
elsewhere, few suspected a change in headquarters.
How to Pick Top Stocks
The April 17 Dow Jones News
Service featured new research on stock picking by Joseph Piotroski,
assistant professor of accounting. Using measures of profitability,
capital structure, and operating efficiency, Piotroski created
a nine-point scale that grades low book-value companies. Analyst
Paul Sturm told the news service, "The results are among the most
impressive I've seen in academic research." The Dow Jones story
said Piotroski's methods "turn out to be a wonderful way to separate
winners from losers." Piotroski recently received an award for the best paper written by a junior member
of the GSB accounting faculty.
Chicago GSB E-expertise
The February
cover story of i-Street named Steven Kaplan (left), Austan
Goolsbee, Ellen Rudnick, and James Schrager as leading academics
in entrepreneurship and technology. According to the article,
"If there's a tax on Internet enterprise, Goolsbee will be a part
of the debate." The magazine also called Kaplan, Neubauer Family
Professor of Entrepreneurship and Finance, "one of the biggest
names in Chicago's entrepreneurial community." Goolsbee is associate
professor of economics; Rudnick is clinical associate professor
of entrepreneurship; and Schrager is clinical professor of entrepreneurship
and strategic management.
When Investors Sell Stock
Investors are more likely to sell
if they have seen their accumulated stock market profit completely
melt away, Nicholas Barberis told the Wall Street Journal
in March. "Some of the early dips in Nasdaq weren't taken that
seriously, because people still had very healthy gains from the
past few years," said Barberis, assistant professor of finance.
"But after the big drops [in February], some people have had their
entire gains wiped out. That's when they get really scared and
head for the exit." The story also appeared in the paper's Asian
and European editions.
GSB's Global Clout
The GSB's Singapore campus was
featured in a Far Eastern Economic Review story about the
increasing globalization of business schools. The article noted
that students travel from as far away as India and China to participate
in the GSB's Executive M.B.A. Program Asia. "What do the Western
programs offer that's worth so much?" the magazine asked, answering,
"Chicago's faculty has the most Nobel laureates of any business
school in the world."
New Economy Jobs Less Popular
The allure of dot-com jobs was exaggerated last year, Glenn Sykes
told the New York Times. Sykes, who directs Chicago GSB's
career services office, said only 14 of the more than 500 GSB
graduates last year preferred dot-com jobs over traditional employment.
The article, "Business Students Do an About-Face: Recruiters for
Banks and Consultants Have Regained the Upper Hand," appeared
in the paper's February 14 edition.
--T.T.
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