Capital Ideas Blog

Will the US unemployment rate be 4.7% in July 2014?

By Chelsea Vail
February 04, 2014

From: Blog


In January, the Grumpy Economist gave us a look at a slide deck from Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank. Among the interesting charts he posted was one that showed a correlation between the Fed balance sheet and the number of words in FOMC statements—both of which are on the rise. Now, he's sharing more from the same deck. Will the US unemployment rate be 4.7% in July 2014? Take a look at the comments section on the original post and you'll see that's not quite settled yet. 


Slok chart

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